The wildest rides in IPL history.
Sorted by total absolute swing in P(chase wins) across the chase. Bigger score = wilder ride. The 538 trick — surfaces super-overs and mid-innings collapses, not just finals.
For every ball in the chase, we compute the change in P(chase wins) from the previous ball. The excitement score sums those absolute changes — a routine chase trends smoothly toward 1.0 (low Σ); a thriller swings between hope and despair (high Σ).
- ·WP comes from a logistic model in
wp_score()— features:balls_left,wickets_in_hand,runs_needed, target. - ·Coefficients live in
model_paramsand are fit bypnpm pipeline:train-wp. The materialized viewvw_win_probabilitycaches per-ball P(chase wins) and refreshes after retrain or re-ingest. - ·Terminal balls (chase ended, all-out, balls exhausted) are excluded from the sum — they're a deterministic flip that fires even when the model isn't trained.
No fabrication · every number is a real ΔP from vw_win_probability
Reading the score
- ≥ 5classic thriller
- 3 – 5close finish
- 1.5 – 3solid contest
- < 1.5routine chase
Top 50
click any match for the full WP graph
RCB won by 11 runs
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru
PBKS won by 2 wickets
Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow
RR won by 6 runs
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
PBKS won by 10 runs
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
CSK won by 2 wickets
Eden Gardens, Kolkata
DC won by 12 runs
Feroz Shah Kotla
PBKS won by 6 wickets
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
RR won by 3 wickets
Eden Gardens
KKR won by 4 runs
Eden Gardens, Kolkata
RR won by 4 wickets
Himachal Pradesh Cricket Association Stadium, Dharamsala
RCB won by 4 wickets
M Chinnaswamy Stadium
PBKS won by 4 wickets
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, Chennai
KKR won by 1 wickets
Eden Gardens
MI won by 6 runs
M.Chinnaswamy Stadium
MI won by 13 runs
Wankhede Stadium
MI won by 9 runs
Eden Gardens
RR won by 3 wickets
Feroz Shah Kotla
DC won by 4 runs
Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium
DC won by 3 wickets
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy
PBKS won by 5 wickets
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy, Mumbai
RR won by 4 wickets
Sawai Mansingh Stadium
super over
Dubai International Cricket Stadium
Super over
RCB won by 17 runs
M.Chinnaswamy Stadium
CSK won by 5 wickets
MA Chidambaram Stadium
MI won by 5 wickets
Sheikh Zayed Stadium
RCB won by 10 runs
Feroz Shah Kotla
PBKS won by 12 runs
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium, Pune
KKR won by 3 wickets
M Chinnaswamy Stadium
DC won by 4 wickets
Dubai International Cricket Stadium
PBKS won by 7 runs
Wankhede Stadium
RCB won by 4 wickets
M Chinnaswamy Stadium, Bengaluru
RCB won by 3 wickets
Eden Gardens
KKR won by 6 wickets
Eden Gardens
KKR won by 1 runs
Eden Gardens, Kolkata
DC won by 11 runs
Arun Jaitley Stadium
RR won by 12 runs
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
KKR won by 2 wickets
Maharashtra Cricket Association Stadium
GT won by 6 runs
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
DC won by 2 wickets
Green Park
KKR won by 4 wickets
Eden Gardens
SRH won by 4 wickets
Sawai Mansingh Stadium, Jaipur
CSK won by 5 wickets
MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk
RCB won by 6 wickets
Nehru Stadium
MI won by 5 runs
Wankhede Stadium
super over
Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
Super over
MI won by 19 runs
Wankhede Stadium
PW won by 7 runs
JSCA International Stadium Complex
RR won by 3 wickets
Dr DY Patil Sports Academy
RR won by 3 wickets
Sawai Mansingh Stadium
GT won by 5 wickets
Narendra Modi Stadium, Ahmedabad
Back
All matches index
Open
On this day
What happened today, every year
Open
Records
Biggest, best, rarest
Open