Match DNA · 2026 · Apr 25, 2026 · Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi, Delhi
Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Punjab Kings won by 6 wickets.
POTM · KL Rahul
1st innings
Delhi Capitals
264/2
20 overs
2nd innings
Punjab Kings
265/4
18.5 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 4.60 across the chase (125 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 508.78.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
Shashank Singh
Punjab Kings
165.7swingHelped (+49.7)20 runs · 11 balls33% of swingSS Iyer
Punjab Kings
119.3swingHelped (+13.6)73 runs · 38 balls24% of swingPriyansh Arya
Punjab Kings
83.5swingHurt (-49.4)46 runs · 19 balls16% of swingP Simran Singh
Punjab Kings
67.3swingHelped (+32.2)80 runs · 29 balls13% of swingN Wadhera
Punjab Kings
43.1swingHelped (+4.6)29 runs · 19 balls9% of swingC Connolly
Punjab Kings
29.8swingHurt (-0.7)17 runs · 10 balls6% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
T Natarajan
Delhi Capitals
148.5swingHurt (-119.3)0 wkt · 29 balls29% of swingMukesh Kumar
Delhi Capitals
114.0swingHelped (+47.4)0 wkt · 19 balls22% of swingKuldeep Yadav
Delhi Capitals
90.7swingHurt (-6.5)2 wkt · 26 balls18% of swingAuqib Nabi
Delhi Capitals
69.9swingHelped (+31.1)0 wkt · 14 balls14% of swingAR Patel
Delhi Capitals
45.0swingHurt (-0.1)1 wkt · 25 balls9% of swingV Nigam
Delhi Capitals
40.7swingHurt (-2.7)1 wkt · 13 balls8% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 18.6
100-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
100%
If not
↓ 0%
Counterfactual · over 17.5
46-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
9%
If not
↑ 55%
Counterfactual · over 6.5
Priyansh Arya fell — caught at 126/1.
Actual after
48%
If not
↑ 64%
Three biggest swings
WP: 0% → 100%
WP: 55% → 9%
WP: 64% → 48%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Delhi Capitals)
- P Nissankacaught · 28/1 · 2.4
- N Ranacaught · 248/2 · 18.3
2nd innings (Punjab Kings)
- Priyansh Aryacaught · 126/1 · 6.5
- P Simran Singhlbw · 132/2 · 7.3
- C Connollybowled · 145/3 · 9.2
- N Wadheracaught · 201/4 · 14.3