Match DNA · 2013 · May 15, 2013 · JSCA International Stadium Complex, Ranchi
Kolkata Knight Riders vs Pune Warriors
Pune Warriors won by 7 runs.
POTM · MK Pandey
1st innings
Pune Warriors
170/4
20 overs
2nd innings
Kolkata Knight Riders
163/7
20 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 3.05 across the chase (122 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 310.65.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
YK Pathan
Kolkata Knight Riders
98.6swingHelped (+35.4)72 runs · 44 balls32% of swingR Bhatia
Kolkata Knight Riders
49.0swingHurt (-49.0)10 runs · 9 balls16% of swingRN ten Doeschate
Kolkata Knight Riders
46.2swingHelped (+12.2)42 runs · 30 balls15% of swingG Gambhir
Kolkata Knight Riders
40.8swingHurt (-2.6)18 runs · 18 balls13% of swingMS Bisla
Kolkata Knight Riders
26.1swingHurt (-14.1)7 runs · 6 balls8% of swingJH Kallis
Kolkata Knight Riders
23.7swingHurt (-17.1)4 runs · 7 balls8% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
WD Parnell
Pune Warriors
100.1swingHelped (+23.8)3 wkt · 26 balls32% of swingB Kumar
Pune Warriors
80.5swingHelped (+32.9)1 wkt · 25 balls26% of swingAD Mathews
Pune Warriors
29.8swingHelped (+11.7)1 wkt · 18 balls10% of swingAG Murtaza
Pune Warriors
28.1swingHurt (-17.2)0 wkt · 24 balls9% of swingIC Pandey
Pune Warriors
25.9swingHelped (+4.2)1 wkt · 12 balls8% of swingRV Gomez
Pune Warriors
22.3swingHelped (+12.8)1 wkt · 6 balls7% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 1.6
MS Bisla fell — lbw at 17/1.
Actual after
46%
If not
↑ 64%
Counterfactual · over 3.6
JH Kallis fell — bowled at 25/2.
Actual after
26%
If not
↑ 41%
Counterfactual · over 17.5
YK Pathan fell — obstructing the field at 148/6.
Actual after
51%
If not
↑ 65%
Three biggest swings
WP: 64% → 46%
WP: 41% → 26%
WP: 65% → 51%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Pune Warriors)
- RV Uthappabowled · 41/1 · 5.4
- AJ Finchbowled · 97/2 · 12.5
- MK Pandeyrun out · 162/3 · 19.3
- Yuvraj Singhcaught · 170/4 · 19.6
2nd innings (Kolkata Knight Riders)
- MS Bislalbw · 17/1 · 1.6
- JH Kallisbowled · 25/2 · 3.6
- G Gambhircaught · 29/3 · 4.4
- RN ten Doeschaterun out · 127/4 · 15.5
- MK Tiwarycaught · 128/5 · 16.2
- YK Pathanobstructing the field · 148/6 · 17.5
- R Bhatiarun out · 160/7 · 19.4