Match DNA · 2015 · Apr 18, 2015 · Dr. Y.S. Rajasekhara Reddy ACA-VDCA Cricket Stadium, Visakhapatnam
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Daredevils
Delhi Daredevils won by 4 runs.
POTM · JP Duminy
1st innings
Delhi Daredevils
167/4
20 overs
2nd innings
Sunrisers Hyderabad
163/8
20 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 3.46 across the chase (120 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 353.52.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
RS Bopara
Sunrisers Hyderabad
61.8swingHelped (+10.8)41 runs · 30 balls18% of swingDA Warner
Sunrisers Hyderabad
53.9swingHelped (+8.6)31 runs · 21 balls15% of swingKV Sharma
Sunrisers Hyderabad
51.5swingHurt (-10.4)19 runs · 10 balls15% of swingA Ashish Reddy
Sunrisers Hyderabad
45.6swingHurt (-2.4)15 runs · 8 balls13% of swingKL Rahul
Sunrisers Hyderabad
43.4swingHurt (-4.9)24 runs · 21 balls12% of swingS Dhawan
Sunrisers Hyderabad
39.9swingHurt (-8.7)19 runs · 18 balls11% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
NM Coulter-Nile
Delhi Daredevils
103.9swingHelped (+50.8)2 wkt · 24 balls29% of swingAD Mathews
Delhi Daredevils
75.6swingHurt (-12.4)1 wkt · 24 balls21% of swingJP Duminy
Delhi Daredevils
69.9swingHelped (+46.5)4 wkt · 19 balls20% of swingImran Tahir
Delhi Daredevils
55.2swingHurt (-11.1)1 wkt · 24 balls16% of swingDJ Muthuswami
Delhi Daredevils
25.4swingHurt (-11.4)0 wkt · 12 balls7% of swingA Mishra
Delhi Daredevils
13.5swingHurt (-5.1)0 wkt · 12 balls4% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 19.4
22-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
14%
If not
↑ 37%
Counterfactual · over 19.2
A Ashish Reddy fell — run out at 159/7.
Actual after
46%
If not
↑ 65%
Counterfactual · over 6.3
DA Warner fell — caught and bowled at 51/2.
Actual after
50%
If not
↑ 66%
Three biggest swings
WP: 37% → 14%
WP: 65% → 46%
WP: 66% → 50%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Delhi Daredevils)
- MA Agarwalcaught · 15/1 · 2.1
- SS Iyercaught · 93/2 · 11.3
- JP Duminybowled · 132/3 · 15.6
- Yuvraj Singhcaught · 132/4 · 16.1
2nd innings (Sunrisers Hyderabad)
- S Dhawanbowled · 50/1 · 6.1
- DA Warnercaught and bowled · 51/2 · 6.3
- KL Rahulbowled · 89/3 · 12.4
- NV Ojhacaught · 120/4 · 15.6
- RS Boparacaught · 128/5 · 16.4
- EJG Morganbowled · 129/6 · 16.6
- A Ashish Reddyrun out · 159/7 · 19.2
- KV Sharmacaught · 163/8 · 19.6