Match DNA · 2018 · May 20, 2018 · Arun Jaitley Stadium, Delhi
Delhi Daredevils vs Mumbai Indians
Delhi Daredevils won by 11 runs.
POTM · A Mishra
1st innings
Delhi Daredevils
174/4
20 overs
2nd innings
Mumbai Indians
163/10
19.3 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 3.11 across the chase (121 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 316.26.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
E Lewis
Mumbai Indians
76.5swingHelped (+16.4)49 runs · 32 balls24% of swingBCJ Cutting
Mumbai Indians
51.1swingHurt (-0.1)37 runs · 20 balls16% of swingHH Pandya
Mumbai Indians
43.6swingHelped (+10.5)29 runs · 18 balls14% of swingSA Yadav
Mumbai Indians
32.1swingHurt (-3.9)12 runs · 4 balls10% of swingM Markande
Mumbai Indians
25.6swingHurt (-23.8)5 runs · 11 balls8% of swingIshan Kishan
Mumbai Indians
25.6swingHurt (-24.0)6 runs · 14 balls8% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
S Lamichhane
Delhi Daredevils
82.1swingHelped (+19.9)3 wkt · 25 balls26% of swingA Mishra
Delhi Daredevils
68.2swingHelped (+40.1)3 wkt · 24 balls22% of swingTA Boult
Delhi Daredevils
63.5swingHelped (+14.5)1 wkt · 25 balls20% of swingHV Patel
Delhi Daredevils
39.2swingHurt (-3.9)3 wkt · 16 balls12% of swingLE Plunkett
Delhi Daredevils
35.3swingHurt (-8.5)0 wkt · 20 balls11% of swingGJ Maxwell
Delhi Daredevils
27.9swingHurt (-12.1)0 wkt · 12 balls9% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 0.4
SA Yadav fell — caught at 12/1.
Actual after
46%
If not
↑ 64%
Counterfactual · over 6.1
Ishan Kishan fell — caught at 57/2.
Actual after
52%
If not
↑ 67%
Counterfactual · over 8.6
E Lewis fell — stumped at 74/3.
Actual after
41%
If not
↑ 56%
Three biggest swings
WP: 64% → 46%
WP: 67% → 52%
WP: 56% → 41%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Delhi Daredevils)
- PP Shawrun out · 30/1 · 3.1
- GJ Maxwellbowled · 38/2 · 4.4
- SS Iyercaught · 75/3 · 8.6
- RR Pantcaught · 139/4 · 16.5
2nd innings (Mumbai Indians)
- SA Yadavcaught · 12/1 · 0.4
- Ishan Kishancaught · 57/2 · 6.1
- E Lewisstumped · 74/3 · 8.6
- KA Pollardcaught · 74/4 · 9.1
- KH Pandyacaught · 78/5 · 9.4
- RG Sharmacaught · 121/6 · 13.6
- HH Pandyacaught · 122/7 · 14.5
- M Markandebowled · 157/8 · 18.6
- BCJ Cuttingcaught · 163/9 · 19.2
- JJ Bumrahcaught · 163/10 · 19.3