Match DNA · 2013 · May 1, 2013 · Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, Raipur
Delhi Daredevils vs Kolkata Knight Riders
Delhi Daredevils won by 7 wickets.
POTM · DA Warner
1st innings
Kolkata Knight Riders
136/7
20 overs
2nd innings
Delhi Daredevils
137/3
17.5 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 1.35 across the chase (107 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 171.07.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
DA Warner
Delhi Daredevils
54.3swingHelped (+26.4)66 runs · 42 balls32% of swingDPMD Jayawardene
Delhi Daredevils
51.1swingHelped (+23.4)6 runs · 9 balls30% of swingUBT Chand
Delhi Daredevils
39.4swingHurt (-0.6)38 runs · 39 balls23% of swingV Sehwag
Delhi Daredevils
19.4swingHurt (-6.2)17 runs · 15 balls11% of swingBJ Rohrer
Delhi Daredevils
6.8swingHelped (+6.8)10 runs · 3 balls4% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
B Lee
Kolkata Knight Riders
55.8swingHurt (-34.3)1 wkt · 25 balls33% of swingJH Kallis
Kolkata Knight Riders
32.0swingHurt (-6.5)1 wkt · 18 balls19% of swingL Balaji
Kolkata Knight Riders
31.9swingHelped (+0.8)1 wkt · 24 balls19% of swingR Bhatia
Kolkata Knight Riders
24.8swingHurt (-12.4)0 wkt · 12 balls15% of swingSP Narine
Kolkata Knight Riders
19.3swingHelped (+9.1)0 wkt · 24 balls11% of swingYK Pathan
Kolkata Knight Riders
7.3swingHurt (-6.7)0 wkt · 5 balls4% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 4.1
DPMD Jayawardene fell — caught at 27/2.
Actual after
69%
If not
↑ 82%
Counterfactual · over 3.4
V Sehwag fell — caught at 23/1.
Actual after
80%
If not
↑ 89%
Counterfactual · over 7.4
7-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
73%
If not
↓ 67%
Three biggest swings
WP: 82% → 69%
WP: 89% → 80%
WP: 67% → 73%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Kolkata Knight Riders)
- G Gambhirrun out · 4/1 · 0.2
- MS Bislabowled · 16/2 · 2.3
- YK Pathancaught · 37/3 · 5.5
- EJG Morgancaught · 48/4 · 7.4
- JH Kalliscaught · 50/5 · 8.3
- DB Dascaught · 84/6 · 15.3
- S Narwalcaught · 114/7 · 18.2
2nd innings (Delhi Daredevils)
- V Sehwagcaught · 23/1 · 3.4
- DPMD Jayawardenecaught · 27/2 · 4.1
- UBT Chandcaught · 122/3 · 16.5