Match DNA · 2016 · May 20, 2016 · Shaheed Veer Narayan Singh International Stadium, Raipur
Delhi Daredevils vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Delhi Daredevils won by 6 wickets.
POTM · KK Nair
1st innings
Sunrisers Hyderabad
158/7
20 overs
2nd innings
Delhi Daredevils
161/4
20 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 3.68 across the chase (125 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 391.78.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
KK Nair
Delhi Daredevils
242.0swingHelped (+73.0)86 runs · 61 balls62% of swingQ de Kock
Delhi Daredevils
51.0swingHelped (+0.1)8 runs · 11 balls13% of swingCR Brathwaite
Delhi Daredevils
34.8swingHurt (-16.9)12 runs · 8 balls9% of swingRR Pant
Delhi Daredevils
28.1swingHelped (+11.9)33 runs · 27 balls7% of swingJP Duminy
Delhi Daredevils
25.9swingHurt (-8.1)17 runs · 15 balls7% of swingSV Samson
Delhi Daredevils
10.0swingHurt (-10.0)5 runs · 4 balls3% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
B Kumar
Sunrisers Hyderabad
157.8swingHurt (-120.6)0 wkt · 27 balls40% of swingMustafizur Rahman
Sunrisers Hyderabad
101.8swingHelped (+79.2)1 wkt · 26 balls26% of swingBB Sran
Sunrisers Hyderabad
74.3swingHelped (+10.3)2 wkt · 25 balls19% of swingKV Sharma
Sunrisers Hyderabad
27.4swingHelped (+0.4)1 wkt · 18 balls7% of swingMC Henriques
Sunrisers Hyderabad
18.8swingHurt (-10.3)0 wkt · 12 balls5% of swingDJ Hooda
Sunrisers Hyderabad
7.3swingHurt (-7.3)0 wkt · 12 balls2% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 19.6
100-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
100%
If not
↓ 0%
Counterfactual · over 18.4
23-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
22%
If not
↑ 45%
Counterfactual · over 18.5
19-point swing on this ball.
Actual after
3%
If not
↑ 22%
Three biggest swings
WP: 0% → 100%
WP: 45% → 22%
WP: 22% → 3%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Sunrisers Hyderabad)
- S Dhawanrun out · 46/1 · 5.6
- DJ Hoodarun out · 48/2 · 6.4
- Yuvraj Singhbowled · 66/3 · 9.3
- MC Henriquescaught · 105/4 · 13.3
- DA Warnercaught · 117/5 · 15.2
- EJG Morgancaught · 132/6 · 17.3
- B Kumarrun out · 158/7 · 19.6
2nd innings (Delhi Daredevils)
- Q de Kockcaught · 9/1 · 1.5
- RR Pantrun out · 82/2 · 11.4
- JP Duminycaught · 117/3 · 16.1
- CR Brathwaitecaught · 143/4 · 18.2