Match DNA · 2026 · Apr 1, 2026 · Bharat Ratna Shri Atal Bihari Vajpayee Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow, Lucknow
Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitals
Delhi Capitals won by 6 wickets.
POTM · Sameer Rizvi
1st innings
Lucknow Super Giants
141/10
18.4 overs
2nd innings
Delhi Capitals
145/4
17.1 overs
Win probability — chasing team
Runs per over
Where the swing came from
Decomposes total absolute |Δp(chase wins)| = 2.11 across the chase (114 balls). Phases partition cleanly; overlays don't.
Event overlays — share % can intersect phases above
Who actually won this
Per-player WP-swing attribution across the chase. Every ball's ΔP is credited to BOTH the batter (who took / didn't take the run) and the bowler (who delivered the ball). Total absolute swing = 231.53.
Batters
Sorted by absolute swing they were on for
Sameer Rizvi
Delhi Capitals
96.4swingHelped (+58.5)81 runs · 51 balls42% of swingN Rana
Delhi Capitals
44.0swingHurt (-13.9)19 runs · 21 balls19% of swingT Stubbs
Delhi Capitals
36.3swingHelped (+16.3)40 runs · 33 balls16% of swingKL Rahul
Delhi Capitals
21.0swingHelped (+21.0)0 runs · 1 balls9% of swingP Nissanka
Delhi Capitals
19.6swingHurt (-18.1)4 runs · 7 balls8% of swingAR Patel
Delhi Capitals
14.3swingHurt (-13.8)1 runs · 2 balls6% of swing
Bowlers
Sorted by absolute swing they delivered into
Prince Yadav
Lucknow Super Giants
53.2swingHelped (+26.9)2 wkt · 22 balls23% of swingMohammed Shami
Lucknow Super Giants
52.4swingHurt (-28.1)1 wkt · 28 balls23% of swingMohsin Khan
Lucknow Super Giants
44.3swingHelped (+11.9)1 wkt · 25 balls19% of swingA Nortje
Lucknow Super Giants
36.2swingHurt (-21.2)0 wkt · 27 balls16% of swingAK Markram
Lucknow Super Giants
18.5swingHurt (-12.6)0 wkt · 6 balls8% of swingShahbaz Ahmed
Lucknow Super Giants
17.8swingHurt (-17.8)0 wkt · 6 balls8% of swing
What if?
counterfactual · v1 (pre-event approximation)Reframes the biggest swings as "what if this hadn't happened" — the WP if the event had gone the other way is approximated by the pre-event state. Not a hard prediction.
Counterfactual · over 4.4
P Nissanka fell — caught at 25/3.
Actual after
38%
If not
↑ 55%
Counterfactual · over 3.3
N Rana fell — caught at 21/2.
Actual after
56%
If not
↑ 72%
Counterfactual · over 4.6
AR Patel fell — bowled at 26/4.
Actual after
24%
If not
↑ 38%
Three biggest swings
WP: 55% → 38%
WP: 72% → 56%
WP: 38% → 24%
Wicket falls
1st innings (Lucknow Super Giants)
- RR Pantrun out · 19/1 · 2.6
- AK Markrambowled · 48/2 · 5.5
- A Badonicaught · 49/3 · 6.3
- N Pooranbowled · 65/4 · 8.5
- MR Marshcaught · 71/5 · 9.3
- MD Choudharycaught and bowled · 105/6 · 13.1
- Abdul Samadcaught · 138/7 · 17.3
- Mohammed Shamicaught · 140/8 · 17.6
- A Nortjecaught · 141/9 · 18.3
- Mohsin Khancaught · 141/10 · 18.4
2nd innings (Delhi Capitals)
- KL Rahulcaught · 0/1 · 0.1
- N Ranacaught · 21/2 · 3.3
- P Nissankacaught · 25/3 · 4.4
- AR Patelbowled · 26/4 · 4.6